Structured risk assessment tools (VPR / VPER)

Here’s how police in Spain typically assess ongoing risk after long-term domestic violence or harassment cases(including cases that have been through restraining orders and may be in or out of VioGén monitoring).


🟡 1. Risk is not based on time — it’s based on behaviour patterns

Police and risk assessors do not use a “time passed = safe” rule.

Instead they look at:

  • Whether contact or attempts at contact continue
  • Any escalation or repetition of behaviour
  • History of previous incidents (especially repeated patterns over years)
  • Breaches of previous orders (if any existed)
  • Emotional or coercive behaviour (not just physical violence)

🔵 2. Structured risk assessment tools (VPR / VPER)

Spain uses structured questionnaires and police assessment tools that evaluate:

  • Frequency of incidents
  • Severity of past behaviour
  • Psychological control or coercion patterns
  • Obsession, jealousy, or persistent pursuit
  • Whether separation has triggered escalation in the past
  • Access to the victim (physical proximity, shared networks, etc.)

These tools help assign risk levels such as:

  • Low
  • Medium
  • High
  • Extreme

🔴 3. “Long-term cases” are treated as higher awareness cases

When there is a long history (months or years), police tend to:

  • Give more weight to patterns than isolated events
  • Consider whether behaviour has ever restarted after calm periods
  • Pay attention to “cycle of behaviour” cases (calm → escalation → contact again)

Long history doesn’t automatically mean high risk — but it increases sensitivity in assessment.


🟣 4. What can increase risk level after a long period

Even after time has passed, risk can be upgraded if there is:

  • Any renewed contact or attempts at contact
  • Surveillance or indirect monitoring behaviour
  • Third-party involvement (friends/family messages)
  • Emotional coercion or pressure
  • Showing up at locations associated with the person

🟢 5. What can reduce risk level

Risk may be downgraded if:

  • There is no contact or attempted contact over time
  • No escalation indicators are present
  • No breaches or incidents occur
  • Both parties are fully separated and stable

However, downgrade is always gradual and reassessed, not automatic.


🧠 Simple summary

Police focus on:

“Is there a pattern of behaviour that suggests ongoing risk or potential re-escalation?”

Not:

“How long has it been since the last incident?”


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